Explosion over Kyiv during the Russian missile attack on 20 August 2026

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Mikheil Golijashvili

Mikheil Golijashvili

Founder & CEO
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Strategic security leader with operational experience across Central Asia, the Middle East, Europe, the United States, and the Caucasus. Specializes in building organizational security capacity from the ground up, helping institutions establish practical, resilient, and scalable security structures in complex environments. Former Army infantry officer in the NATO Response Force. Holds a BA from West Point and an MA from King’s College London.

Van Wilberding

Van Wilberding

Advisory Board Member
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Security and risk management leader with over 25 years of experience across the Middle East, Africa, and emerging markets. Specializes in crisis management and establishing organizational security capabilities in complex environments. Former U.S. Army Counterintelligence Special Agent and Foreign Service Officer, with senior leadership roles at Coca-Cola and SOS Children’s Villages International. Holds graduate degrees from Columbia University and Georgia State University.

Eric Triller

Eric Triller

Senior Associate, Security & Intelligence · Americas
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Security risk and crisis management professional with over 13 years of experience in domestic and international operations. Specializes in protective intelligence, geopolitical risk analysis, emergency management, and strategic planning, helping organizations anticipate threats and strengthen operational resilience in complex environments. Experienced in coordinating security operations with government agencies, international partners, and key stakeholders. Graduate of the United States Military Academy at West Point.

Levan Lanchava

Levan Lanchava

Senior Advisor, Strategy & Operations
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Strategy and operations leader with a background spanning military leadership and management consulting. He commanded combat units as a commissioned officer before transitioning into management consulting, where he advised Fortune 500 companies on large-scale transformations, operational improvement, and business continuity. He holds a B.S. from the United States Military Academy at West Point and an LL.B. from Georgian-American University.

Nodar Chiabrishvili

Nodar Chiabrishvili

Senior Project Manager, Security Technology
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Technology and project management professional with experience overseeing large-scale initiatives in defence, security technology, and artificial intelligence. Specializes in coordinating complex technology projects and developing practical solutions that support organizational decision-making and operational effectiveness. Previously worked as an analyst at the National Bank of Georgia, bringing an analytical perspective to technology and innovation. Studied public and economic policy at the London School of Economics.

Alex Gelashvili

Alex Gelashvili

Technical Lead
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Security technology specialist with experience building data-driven solutions that support security risk and intelligence operations. Specializes in developing Big Data and ETL pipelines, as well as software tools for travel security, emergency alerts, and threat-informed decision support. Additional expertise includes digital forensics and information security. Holds a BA in Computer Science from West Point.

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Operational Risk

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Reference risk profile · Kyiv City

Latest individual evidence review: 29 October 2026

Armed Conflict · 18/25ARMEDCONFLICTConflict18Explosive Hazard · 10.5/25EXPLOSIVEHAZARDExplosives10.5Targeted Violence · 10.5/25TARGETEDVIOLENCETargeted10.5Crime · 10.5/25CRIMECrime10.5Civil Unrest · 7.5/25CIVILUNRESTUnrest7.5State and Legal · 10.5/25STATE &LEGALState/legal10.5Movement and Access · 10.5/25MOVEMENT& ACCESSMovement10.5Infrastructure Continuity · 15.75/25INFRASTRUCTURECONTINUITYContinuity15.75Health and Response · 12/25HEALTH& RESPONSEHealth12Natural and Environmental Hazard · 7.5/25NATURAL &ENVIRONMENTALEnvironment7.5

Highest assessed risk per category · 1–25

47 risks assessed · 10 categories · Review dates vary by risk

Minimal1Low>1–6Moderate>6–12High>12–20Extreme>20–25
Armed Conflict
18 /25
Explosive Hazard
10.5 /25
Targeted Violence
10.5 /25
Crime
10.5 /25
Civil Unrest
7.5 /25
State and Legal
10.5 /25
Movement and Access
10.5 /25
Infrastructure Continuity
15.75 /25
Health and Response
12 /25
Natural and Environmental Hazard
7.5 /25
Regional insight

The world you work in.

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Choose a region to see how local conditions could affect your people, travel and plans.

10 map layers · Select an area to exploreExplore Ukraine
Your operating brief

Developments that matter

Reviewed 29 October 2026

Latest developments

Still affecting operations

Earlier developments 1
Ukraine · Rail access

A strike at Dnipro station puts a rail handoff under pressure

Incident-specific rail dependency · not a live service map
Dnipro stationOperator reported a strike on a platform · 29 Oct
Train 866Dnipro–Zaporizhzhia service was present
Onward movementCheck actual service and handoff status

The operator report does not establish route-wide interruption, restoration, or freight availability.

29 OctOperator-reported station strike
Train 866Dnipro–Zaporizhzhia passenger service present
Dated attack on rail infrastructure
For your operation

Staff movements and project handoffs that depend on Dnipro passenger rail may be delayed or interrupted if the relevant service is affected. Cargo availability and freight capacity are not established by this passenger-train report.

Your next step

Before dispatch or a staff movement, check the current operator notice for the actual service and confirm the onward handoff and a workable alternative.

Read our assessment

Evidence reviewed 29 October 2026 · Analysis updated 29 October 2026

Our assessment

A Dnipro station strike makes the relevant rail service worth checking before staff travel or a project handoff; it does not establish a route-wide closure.

The evidence
Incident-specific rail dependency · not a live service map
Dnipro stationOperator reported a strike on a platform · 29 Oct
Train 866Dnipro–Zaporizhzhia service was present
Onward movementCheck actual service and handoff status

The operator report does not establish route-wide interruption, restoration, or freight availability.

Operator-reported station strike
29 Oct
Dnipro–Zaporizhzhia passenger service present
Train 866
The decisionConfirm the actual service, station arrangements and onward connection before committing a staff movement or time-sensitive handoff.

How it affects your operation

  1. Reported strikeDnipro station platform affected
  2. Rail dependencyTrain 866 was present; current service status is unverified
  3. Operating decisionConfirm the actual movement and its alternative

Planning connections to check for your operation

Practical priorities

  1. Before dispatch

    Check the specific service

    Use current operator information for the station and train required; this report does not establish present availability.

  2. Before a project handoff

    Protect the onward connection

    Confirm the receiving contact, timing tolerance and an appropriate alternative.

  3. If status changes

    Reassess the actual movement

    Update the affected team and provider instead of assuming the original connection remains usable.

When to change the plan

Conditional review points to agree for your operation

If observed

The operator reports a suspension, restriction, or change affecting the planned service.

Your response

Reassess the movement and onward connection before dispatch.

If observed

The operator confirms service restoration or a changed arrangement.

Your response

Verify that the actual departure, arrival and handoff meet the operation’s timing needs.

Scope Operator reported a strike at Dnipro station on 29 October; current service status is unverified

We can help you
  • Identify staff movements and project handoffs that depend on the relevant Dnipro service.
  • Confirm service status and onward arrangements with the responsible operator before committing.
  • Agree who can authorize a delay or alternative if the service changes.
Discuss this assessment
Kyiv · Staff access

Metro damage puts cross-river staff access under pressure

Staff-access planning · schematic, not a live route
Home / departureConfirm the specific journey and current service
Cross-river connection27 October operator notice: affected Green-line section suspended
Site / shift handoverConfirm arrival, pickup and a usable fallback together
27 OctDated metro operator update
Green lineSouthern Bridge infrastructure affected
Dated access disruption
For your operation

A team can have a usable workplace and still lose the connection staff need to reach it. Check the actual journey and shift handover before relying on a cross-river metro connection. The notice does not establish a road-bridge closure.

Your next step

Confirm the current line status and a workable alternative before setting staff arrival or handover times.

Read our assessment

Evidence reviewed 29 October 2026 · Analysis updated 28 October 2026

Our assessment

Check who can reach the site before confirming the shift. A working office does not establish a working cross-river journey.

The evidence
Staff-access planning · schematic, not a live route
Home / departureConfirm the specific journey and current service
Cross-river connection27 October operator notice: affected Green-line section suspended
Site / shift handoverConfirm arrival, pickup and a usable fallback together
Dated metro operator update
27 Oct
Southern Bridge infrastructure affected
Green line
The decisionConfirm the relevant operating section and the fallback journey before committing staff arrival, contractor access or a time-critical handover.

How it affects your operation

  1. Reported infrastructure damageAffected metro section suspended
  2. Staff-access dependencyA planned cross-river connection may fail
  3. Operating effectLate arrivals or missed handovers if no usable fallback is arranged

Planning connections to check for your operation

Practical priorities

  1. Before confirming attendance

    Check the current service

    Use the operator’s current status for the actual stations and travel time; this assessment does not confirm restoration.

  2. For the critical handover

    Agree the alternative

    Assign a contact and an authorized fallback journey or adjusted start when the required connection is unavailable.

  3. When service changes

    Update both ends

    Tell the receiving team and staff together so the original pickup or handover plan is not used after it stops working.

When to change the plan

Conditional review points to agree for your operation

If observed

The operator confirms restoration of the affected section.

Your response

Recheck the actual journey before returning to the previous shift or pickup arrangement.

If observed

The fallback loses required access, shelter or arrival time.

Your response

Change the activity or attendance arrangement under the organization’s plan; do not assume another route is automatically suitable.

Scope Operator notice · 27 October; present service must be checked

We can help you
  • Map staff journeys against the connections needed to deliver the operation.
  • Review alternative movements with access and shelter requirements.
  • Agree decision triggers, contacts and handover arrangements for disruption.
Discuss this assessment
Still affecting operations
Ukraine · Threat development

Faster drones, day and night

Kyiv City · 19 October 2026 – 25 October 2026

Jet-powered variants · daytime exposure

46hours
warning hours27.22% of the 169-hour weekWorking-day planning matters.

Red + yellow warnings. Not working hours lost.

46 hKyiv City warning time
47.5 hPrevious seven-day week
Persistent change in the threat
For your operation

Overnight-only assumptions leave staff journeys, office hours and critical tasks exposed. Faster drones can compress the time available to act.

Your next step

Plan shelter access and movement decisions for the working day as well as overnight.

Read our assessment

Evidence reviewed 29 October 2026 · Analysis updated 19 October 2026

Our assessment

Daytime attacks bring shelter and movement decisions into the working day. Staff need a plan for home, the journey and the office.

The evidence
Kyiv City · 19 October 2026 – 25 October 2026

Jet-powered variants · daytime exposure

46hours
warning hours27.22% of the 169-hour weekWorking-day planning matters.

Red + yellow warnings. Not working hours lost.

Kyiv City warning time
46 h
Previous seven-day week
47.5 h
The decisionAgree when staff travel, shelter or switch work locations, including during office hours.

How it affects your operation

  1. Threat timingDaytime and overnight activity
  2. Time to actWarning and shelter access
  3. Operating decisionJourneys, attendance and critical tasks

Planning connections to check for your operation

Practical priorities

  1. Before the working day

    Check the full journey

    Identify accessible shelter at the site and along essential movements. Check access arrangements before relying on them.

  2. At the site

    Assign the decisions

    Make clear who pauses work, accounts for staff and confirms the next step after an interruption.

  3. For critical work

    Prepare a fallback

    Identify tasks that can move, pause or be handed over without leaving people dependent on one location.

When to change the plan

Conditional review points to agree for your operation

If observed

Warning time or shelter access no longer supports the planned movement.

Your response

Reassess the journey or attendance arrangement before it is repeated.

If observed

A sustained change in timing, speed or targeting alters the exposure of your sites.

Your response

Review the working-day plan and the tasks that require physical presence.

Scope Persistent change in the threat

We can help you
  • Map exposure across staff journeys and occupied sites.
  • Review shelter access and decision responsibilities.
  • Set practical attendance, movement and continuity triggers.
Discuss this assessment
Ukraine · Critical infrastructure coordination

Expanded emergency coordination does not yet prove faster restoration

Formal coordination is not a service-restoration measure
  1. 16 OctResolution No. 1292 adopted
  2. CoordinationExpanded infrastructure remit
  3. Service outcomesVerify through local operator evidence

Decision pathway; no improvement in availability or recovery time is implied.

16 OctResolution No. 1292 date
Cross-sectorHeat, water, wastewater, transport and communications added
Coordination remit expanded
For your operation

Operators and public authorities now have a broader stated coordination remit, but site continuity still depends on actual local service and restoration notices. Do not reduce backup or change project assumptions based on the organizational decision alone.

Your next step

Keep current continuity arrangements in place and look for implementation evidence before changing operating assumptions.

Read our assessment

Evidence reviewed 29 October 2026 · Analysis updated 29 October 2026

Our assessment

Ukraine expanded cross-sector emergency coordination, but the decision does not prove improved restoration or local service availability.

The evidence
Formal coordination is not a service-restoration measure
  1. 16 OctResolution No. 1292 adopted
  2. CoordinationExpanded infrastructure remit
  3. Service outcomesVerify through local operator evidence

Decision pathway; no improvement in availability or recovery time is implied.

Resolution No. 1292 date
16 Oct
Heat, water, wastewater, transport and communications added
Cross-sector
The decisionKeep current continuity assumptions unless implementation or local service evidence supports a specific change.

How it affects your operation

  1. Cabinet decisionResolution No. 1292 expands coordination remit
  2. Operational implementationStaffing, coordination and response outcomes remain to be verified
  3. Client decisionRetain contingencies until relevant service evidence changes

Planning connections to check for your operation

Practical priorities

  1. Now

    Retain the existing fallback

    Do not reduce backup or continuity measures solely because the coordination remit expanded.

  2. During service disruption

    Check local operators

    Use dated notices relevant to the site and service before changing attendance or delivery plans.

  3. When implementation is evidenced

    Review the assumption

    Assess whether verified response changes affect the particular operation or dependency.

When to change the plan

Conditional review points to agree for your operation

If observed

Authorities or operators publish evidence of a material implementation or response change.

Your response

Reassess only the continuity assumptions affected by that evidence.

If observed

A local operator reports an outage, restriction or restoration affecting a required service.

Your response

Review the site, staff or project fallback against the actual notice.

Scope Resolution adopted; implementation and service outcomes not established

We can help you
  • Map critical site and project dependencies across power, water, heating, communications and transport.
  • Identify which local operator notices should trigger a continuity review.
  • Set evidence requirements before changing backup, attendance or delivery assumptions.
Discuss this assessment
What does this mean for your operation?

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Newest event dates first. Continuing developments retain their original dates. Measurements show their own weekly periods.

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Our story · Since 2019

Experience that
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Founded by West Point graduates. Shaped by the places we know and the people we support.

Practical valueTailored to your realityGrounded in the field
Read our story

Mitigate Risk was founded in 2019 by West Point graduates from a very dynamic part of the world. We’ve lived and worked here for years, and our understanding of the region, its cultures, religions, societies and languages comes from being part of it.

With years of experience in security operations, we stepped up to serve organizations in our own backyard, and have since supported operations in the most critical environments. We bring professional experience and personal knowledge to help clients navigate the challenges here, starting with listening to what they actually need.

Why choose us

Why Choose Us

Practical Value

You are paying for practical security support, not large firm overhead. Our approach is lean, direct, and designed to deliver serious support without inflated consulting fees.

Tailored to Your Reality

We do not hand over recycled templates. Every assessment, plan, and recommendation is shaped around your people, your exposure, and the decisions you actually need to make.

Grounded in the Field

Our advice comes from people working in the environments clients care about, not distant teams removed from the reality on the ground.

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